GE2015 January forecast

This forecast is based on the Ladbrokes Politics odds for all 632 constituencies where odds were advertised when the data was downloaded on Sunday 18 January 2015.


The greatest liklihood number of seats is given by the Medium forecast. The mathematics used suggest that it is very likely the number of seats will be within the range given by the low and high forecasts.


The forecast is calculated based on the description in the forecast methodology page.

Party                                                      Low          Medium          High

Labour                                                    261               274               286

Conservative                                         243               255              277

Liberal Democrats                                 31                38                 46

UKIP                                                           23                30                 40

Green                                                          0                   2                   4

SNP                                                            20                 26                 31

Plaid Cymru                                              2                   4                   6

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